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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Hamburg
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Hamburg
TuRa Harksheide TuRa Harksheide
PREDICTION No tip
TSV Sasel TSV Sasel
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TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Hamburg

Our betting tip for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
TuRa Harksheide TuRa Harksheide
2.13
X
4.00
TSV Sasel TSV Sasel
2.49

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

Some important points for the tip for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TuRa Harksheide in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $658.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSV Sasel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, TuRa Harksheide scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 TuRa Harksheide matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, TSV Sasel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ TuRa Harksheide is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

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Summary

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Analysis from TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel for the Germany Oberliga Hamburg – 24 of November

🏟️ TuRa Harksheide X TSV Sasel – Germany Oberliga Hamburg
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ TuRa Harksheide – Winning probability: 29.41% | Fair line: 3.4
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.99% | Fair line: 4.55
πŸ”΄ TSV Sasel – Winning probability: 48.61% | Fair line: 2.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TuRa Harksheide
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between TuRa Harksheide and TSV Sasel.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

Should you bet on TuRa Harksheide?

πŸ”΅ TuRa Harksheide: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $327.70
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$382.30.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $660.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$120.00.

Should you bet on TSV Sasel?

πŸ”΄ TSV Sasel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.61% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.49. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 490 times – having a profit of $730.10;
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$220.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TuRa Harksheide
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 TuRa Harksheide, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 TuRa Harksheide.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 TuRa Harksheide.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves