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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Hamburg
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Oberliga Hamburg
TuRa Harksheide TuRa Harksheide
PREDICTION No tip
TSV Sasel TSV Sasel
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TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Oberliga Hamburg

Our betting tip for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel, Friday, 24/11/2023
πŸ“… 24/11/2023
18:30
TuRa Harksheide TuRa Harksheide
2.13
X
3.96
TSV Sasel TSV Sasel
2.49

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

Important information for your tip for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TuRa Harksheide in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $658.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on TSV Sasel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-50.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, TuRa Harksheide scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 TuRa Harksheide matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, TSV Sasel conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ TuRa Harksheide is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

πŸ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

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Summary

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Analysis from TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel for the Germany Oberliga Hamburg – 24 of November

🏟️ TuRa Harksheide X TSV Sasel – Germany Oberliga Hamburg
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:30
πŸ”΅ TuRa Harksheide – Winning probability: 29.52% | Fair line: 3.39
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.04% | Fair line: 4.54
πŸ”΄ TSV Sasel – Winning probability: 48.44% | Fair line: 2.06
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TuRa Harksheide
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

Should you bet on TuRa Harksheide?

πŸ”΅ TuRa Harksheide: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.52%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $339.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$361.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.96. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – profiting $651.20;
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$128.80.

Is betting on TSV Sasel worth it?

πŸ”΄ TSV Sasel: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 48.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.49. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 480 times – having a profit of $715.20;
  • And would have lost other 520 times – with a loss of -$520.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$195.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 TuRa Harksheide
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 TuRa Harksheide and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 TuRa Harksheide.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.25 TuRa Harksheide.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for TuRa Harksheide x TSV Sasel

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves