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Home » Predictions » Others » UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta UD Aretxabaleta
PREDICTION UD Aretxabaleta wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Cultural de Durango Cultural de Durango
ODD: @1.54 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 4

Our betting tip for UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:30
UD Aretxabaleta UD Aretxabaleta
1.54
X
3.75
Cultural de Durango Cultural de Durango
5.08

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango:

🔮 UD Aretxabaleta wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Aretxabaleta, you can win up to $770.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Cultural de Durango in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UD Aretxabaleta conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cultural de Durango conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango for the Spain Tercera Group 4 – 1 of December

🏟️ UD Aretxabaleta X Cultural de Durango – Spain Tercera Group 4
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 UD Aretxabaleta – Winning probability: 71.27% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.46% | Fair line: 4.45
🔴 Cultural de Durango – Winning probability: 6.27% | Fair line: 15.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 UD Aretxabaleta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Aretxabaleta?

🔵 UD Aretxabaleta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 71.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.54. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $383.40;
  • And would have lost other 290 times – with a loss of -$290.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$93.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $605.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is betting on Cultural de Durango worth it?

🔴 Cultural de Durango: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – this would give you a profit of $244.80
  • And would have lost other 940 times – with a loss of -$940.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$695.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 UD Aretxabaleta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 UD Aretxabaleta, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 UD Aretxabaleta.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Cultural de Durango.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Aretxabaleta x Cultural de Durango

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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