UD Barbastro x Barcelona Betting tips for January 4 in Spain Copa del Rey

Our betting tip for UD Barbastro x Barcelona, Saturday, 4/1/2025

📅 4/1/2025 18:00

UD Barbastro 23.00

X 12.32

Barcelona 1.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Barbastro x Barcelona:

🔮 Barcelona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Barcelona, you can win up to $525.00!

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The main points for the tip for UD Barbastro x Barcelona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Barbastro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $900.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Barcelona in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-142.0. 👉 UD Barbastro did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UD Barbastro scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Barcelona scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 UD Barbastro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Barcelona matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Barcelona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 UD Barbastro is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Barcelona has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from UD Barbastro x Barcelona for the Spain Copa del Rey – 4 of January

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Barbastro x Barcelona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1241796 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Barbastro x Barcelona

Is betting on UD Barbastro worth it?

🔵 UD Barbastro: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 23.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 12.32. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
• And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Barcelona?

🔴 Barcelona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 1000 times – profiting $50.00;
• And would lose other 0 times – having a loss of -$0.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match UD Barbastro x Barcelona

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +2.75 UD Barbastro
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Barbastro x Barcelona

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +2.75 UD Barbastro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +3.0 UD Barbastro.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +3.0 UD Barbastro.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Barbastro x Barcelona

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 4.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 4.00 goals.