UD Ibiza x Real Murcia Betting tips for November 30 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2
| 📅 30/11/2024 14:30 |
 UD Ibiza2.05 |
X 3.00 |
Real Murcia  3.54 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UD Ibiza x Real Murcia:
🔮 UD Ibiza wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Ibiza, you can win up to $1025.00!
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Some important points for the tip for UD Ibiza x Real Murcia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Ibiza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-132.0. |
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Analysis from UD Ibiza x Real Murcia for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 30 of November
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🏟️ UD Ibiza X Real Murcia – Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Ibiza x Real Murcia right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229690 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Ibiza x Real Murcia
Is betting on UD Ibiza worth it?
🔵 UD Ibiza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 52.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 530 times – this would give you a profit of $556.50
- And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$86.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $500.00
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$250.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Real Murcia?
🔴 Real Murcia: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 220 times – profiting $558.80;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$221.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Ibiza x Real Murcia
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UD Ibiza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Ibiza x Real Murcia
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 UD Ibiza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UD Ibiza. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Ibiza x Real Murcia
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
