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Home » Predictions » Others » UD Leiria x Feirense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Segunda Liga
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Portugal Segunda Liga
UD Leiria UD Leiria
PREDICTION UD Leiria wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
Feirense Feirense
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Leiria x Feirense Betting tips for November 30 in Portugal Segunda Liga

Our betting tip for UD Leiria x Feirense, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
UD Leiria UD Leiria
1.91
X
2.98
Feirense Feirense
4.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UD Leiria x Feirense:

🔮 UD Leiria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Leiria, you can win up to $955.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UD Leiria x Feirense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Leiria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $60.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Feirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Feirense did not score any goals in the last 5 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, UD Leiria scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Feirense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from UD Leiria x Feirense for the Portugal Segunda Liga – 30 of November

🏟️ UD Leiria X Feirense – Portugal Segunda Liga
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 UD Leiria – Winning probability: 57.49% | Fair line: 1.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.16% | Fair line: 3.68
🔴 Feirense – Winning probability: 15.35% | Fair line: 6.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UD Leiria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Leiria x Feirense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Leiria x Feirense

Is it worth betting on UD Leiria?

🔵 UD Leiria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.91. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $518.70
  • And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$88.70.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $534.60;
  • And would lose other 730 times – losing -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$195.40.

Is betting on Feirense worth it?

🔴 Feirense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $450.00;
  • And would lose other 850 times – having a loss of -$850.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$400.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Leiria x Feirense

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UD Leiria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Leiria x Feirense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 UD Leiria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 UD Leiria.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Feirense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Leiria x Feirense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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