UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao Betting tips for January 4 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 4/1/2025 20:30 |
 UD Logrones8.00 |
X 4.50 |
Athletic Bilbao  1.36 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao:
🔮 Athletic Bilbao wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Athletic Bilbao, you can win up to $680.00!
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Important information for your tip for UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Logrones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-87.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao for the Spain Copa del Rey – 4 of January
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🏟️ UD Logrones X Athletic Bilbao – Spain Copa del Rey |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1242003 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao
Is it a good idea to bet on UD Logrones?
🔵 UD Logrones: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $140.00
- And would have lost other 980 times – with a loss of -$980.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$840.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 4.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $175.00
- And would lose other 950 times – having a loss of -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$775.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Athletic Bilbao?
🔴 Athletic Bilbao: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.36. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $338.40
- And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$278.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 UD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 UD Logrones and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 UD Logrones.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 UD Logrones.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Logrones x Athletic Bilbao
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
