UD Logrones x Girona Betting tips for December 4 in Spain Copa del Rey
| 📅 4/12/2024 20:00 |
 UD Logrones8.60 |
X 4.75 |
Girona  1.33 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UD Logrones x Girona:
🔮 Girona wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Girona, you can win up to $665.00!
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Important information for your tip for UD Logrones x Girona: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Logrones in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $341.0. |
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Analysis from UD Logrones x Girona for the Spain Copa del Rey – 4 of December
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🏟️ UD Logrones X Girona – Spain Copa del Rey |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Logrones x Girona right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1232417 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Logrones x Girona
Should you bet on UD Logrones?
🔵 UD Logrones: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.33% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 8.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $228.00;
- And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$742.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $300.00;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$620.00.
Is it worth betting on Girona?
🔴 Girona: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 88.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.33. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 890 times – having a profit of $293.70;
- And would lose other 110 times – losing -$110.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$183.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Logrones x Girona
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 UD Logrones
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Logrones x Girona
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 UD Logrones and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.25 UD Logrones.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 UD Logrones.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Logrones x Girona
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
