UD Montijo x Calamonte Betting tips for December 14 in Spain Tercera Group 14
| 📅 14/12/2025 11:00 |
 UD Montijo1.40 |
X 3.90 |
Calamonte  6.70 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UD Montijo x Calamonte:
🔮 UD Montijo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Montijo, you can win up to $700.00!
The main points for the tip for UD Montijo x Calamonte:
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Montijo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $395.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Calamonte in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 UD Montijo did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, UD Montijo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Calamonte, UD Montijo scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 UD Montijo matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Calamonte matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Calamonte conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 UD Montijo is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
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Analysis from UD Montijo x Calamonte for the Spain Tercera Group 14 – 14 of December
🏟️ UD Montijo X Calamonte – Spain Tercera Group 14
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 11:00
🔵 UD Montijo – Winning probability: 82.94% | Fair line: 1.21
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.40% | Fair line: 7.46
🔴 Calamonte – Winning probability: 3.66% | Fair line: 27.32
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UD Montijo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on UD Montijo x Calamonte is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Montijo x Calamonte
Should you bet on UD Montijo?
🔵 UD Montijo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 82.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 830 times – profiting $332.00;
- And would have lost other 170 times – with a loss of -$170.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$162.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.4%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $377.00
- And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$493.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Calamonte?
🔴 Calamonte: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $228.00;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$732.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Montijo x Calamonte
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 UD Montijo
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Montijo x Calamonte
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 UD Montijo, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 UD Montijo.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 Calamonte.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Montijo x Calamonte
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
