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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 6
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 6
UD Rayo Ibense UD Rayo Ibense
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 21% 1 X 2
Utiel Utiel
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 6

Our betting tip for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
UD Rayo Ibense UD Rayo Ibense
2.00
X
3.10
Utiel Utiel
3.35

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Rayo Ibense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $630.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Utiel in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Utiel scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ UD Rayo Ibense caused at least one sending-off in its last 3 matches as the home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Utiel conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel for the Spain Tercera Group 6 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ UD Rayo Ibense X Utiel – Spain Tercera Group 6
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต UD Rayo Ibense – Winning probability: 37.70% | Fair line: 2.65
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.41% | Fair line: 2.47
๐Ÿ”ด Utiel – Winning probability: 21.89% | Fair line: 4.57
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 UD Rayo Ibense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Rayo Ibense and Utiel.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel

Is betting on UD Rayo Ibense worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต UD Rayo Ibense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 37.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 380 times – profiting $380.00;
  • And would lose other 620 times – losing -$620.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$240.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 40.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $840.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – losing -$600.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$240.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Utiel?

๐Ÿ”ด Utiel: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $517.00
  • And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$263.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 UD Rayo Ibense
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 UD Rayo Ibense, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UD Rayo Ibense.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 UD Rayo Ibense.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Rayo Ibense x Utiel

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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