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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป UD Samano x CD Colindres Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 3
UD Samano UD Samano
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 51% 1 X 2
CD Colindres CD Colindres
ODD: @3.28 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

UD Samano x CD Colindres Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 3

Our betting tip for UD Samano x CD Colindres, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
16:00
UD Samano UD Samano
3.54
X
3.28
CD Colindres CD Colindres
1.94

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Samano x CD Colindres:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1640.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UD Samano x CD Colindres:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Samano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-276.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on CD Colindres in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $850.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, CD Colindres scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, UD Samano conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for UD Samano x CD Colindres

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Summary

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Analysis from UD Samano x CD Colindres for the Spain Tercera Group 3 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ UD Samano X CD Colindres – Spain Tercera Group 3
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต UD Samano – Winning probability: 14.54% | Fair line: 6.88
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 33.92% | Fair line: 2.95
๐Ÿ”ด CD Colindres – Winning probability: 51.54% | Fair line: 1.94
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UD Samano
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Samano x CD Colindres is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Samano x CD Colindres

Is it worth betting on UD Samano?

๐Ÿ”ต UD Samano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.54. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $381.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$469.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $775.20
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$115.20.

Should you bet on CD Colindres?

๐Ÿ”ด CD Colindres: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.94. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $488.80;
  • And would lose other 480 times – losing -$480.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$8.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Samano x CD Colindres

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UD Samano
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Samano x CD Colindres

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 UD Samano, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 UD Samano.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Samano x CD Colindres

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves