UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5
| 📅 29/9/2024 07:00 |
 UD San Sebastian Reyes2.17 |
X 2.90 |
Melilla  3.21 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla:
🔮 UD San Sebastian Reyes wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD San Sebastian Reyes, you can win up to $1085.00!
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The main points for the tip for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD San Sebastian Reyes in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-98.0. |
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Analysis from UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 – 29 of September
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🏟️ UD San Sebastian Reyes X Melilla – Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 5 |
When the best bet on UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla
Should you bet on UD San Sebastian Reyes?
🔵 UD San Sebastian Reyes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 47.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.17. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $549.90
- And would lose other 530 times – losing -$530.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$19.90.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $532.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$188.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Melilla?
🔴 Melilla: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 24.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.21. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 250 times – profiting $552.50;
- And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$197.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD San Sebastian Reyes
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 UD San Sebastian Reyes and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 UD San Sebastian Reyes.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Melilla.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD San Sebastian Reyes x Melilla
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
