UD Santa Marta x Becerril Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 8
| 📅 1/12/2024 11:30 |
 UD Santa Marta2.35 |
X 3.10 |
Becerril  2.73 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UD Santa Marta x Becerril:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for UD Santa Marta x Becerril
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Important information for your tip for UD Santa Marta x Becerril: 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santa Marta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from UD Santa Marta x Becerril for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 1 of December
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🏟️ UD Santa Marta X Becerril – Spain Tercera Group 8 |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UD Santa Marta x Becerril right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Santa Marta x Becerril
Should you bet on UD Santa Marta?
🔵 UD Santa Marta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.64% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $445.50
- And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$224.50.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $693.00
- And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$23.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it a good idea to bet on Becerril?
🔴 Becerril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $588.20
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$71.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Santa Marta x Becerril
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Santa Marta
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Santa Marta x Becerril
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 UD Santa Marta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 UD Santa Marta. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Santa Marta x Becerril
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
