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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป UD Santa Marta x Becerril Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Spain Tercera Group 8
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
PREDICTION UD Santa Marta wins Probability 12% 1 X 2
Becerril Becerril
ODD: @1.84 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

UD Santa Marta x Becerril Betting tips for November 25 in Spain Tercera Group 8

Our betting tip for UD Santa Marta x Becerril, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:15
UD Santa Marta UD Santa Marta
1.84
X
3.25
Becerril Becerril
4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Santa Marta x Becerril:

๐Ÿ”ฎ UD Santa Marta wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UD Santa Marta, you can win up to $920.00!

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Important information for your tip for UD Santa Marta x Becerril:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UD Santa Marta in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Becerril in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $495.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 Becerril matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for UD Santa Marta x Becerril

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Santa Marta x Becerril?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on UD Santa Marta x Becerril:

Analysis from UD Santa Marta x Becerril for the Spain Tercera Group 8 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ UD Santa Marta X Becerril – Spain Tercera Group 8
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:15
๐Ÿ”ต UD Santa Marta – Winning probability: 62.27% | Fair line: 1.61
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.13% | Fair line: 3.98
๐Ÿ”ด Becerril – Winning probability: 12.61% | Fair line: 7.93
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UD Santa Marta
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Santa Marta x Becerril is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1025263 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Santa Marta x Becerril

Is it a good idea to bet on UD Santa Marta?

๐Ÿ”ต UD Santa Marta: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 62.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 620 times – profiting $520.80;
  • And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$140.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.13% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $562.50;
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$187.50.

Is betting on Becerril worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Becerril: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 130 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$480.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match UD Santa Marta x Becerril

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UD Santa Marta
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Santa Marta x Becerril

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 UD Santa Marta and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 UD Santa Marta.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Santa Marta x Becerril

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves