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Home » Predictions » Others » UD Santarem x Amora Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal Liga 3
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 15h00 Portugal Liga 3
UD Santarem UD Santarem
PREDICTION No tip
Amora Amora
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UD Santarem x Amora Betting tips for December 14 in Portugal Liga 3

Our betting tip for UD Santarem x Amora, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
15:00
UD Santarem UD Santarem
2.01
X
3.00
Amora Amora
3.68

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Santarem x Amora:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for UD Santarem x Amora

The main points for the tip for UD Santarem x Amora:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santarem in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Amora in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, UD Santarem conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from UD Santarem x Amora for the Portugal Liga 3 – 14 of December

🏟️ UD Santarem X Amora – Portugal Liga 3
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 15:00
🔵 UD Santarem – Winning probability: 43.76% | Fair line: 2.29
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 31.66% | Fair line: 3.16
🔴 Amora – Winning probability: 24.58% | Fair line: 4.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Santarem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on UD Santarem x Amora is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452605 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UD Santarem x Amora

Is it worth betting on UD Santarem?

🔵 UD Santarem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 43.76% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.01. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 440 times – having a profit of $444.40;
  • And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$115.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $640.00
  • And would lose other 680 times – losing -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Should you bet on Amora?

🔴 Amora: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.58% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $670.00
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UD Santarem x Amora

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Santarem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Santarem x Amora

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 UD Santarem, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UD Santarem.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Amora.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Santarem x Amora

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves