UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon Betting tips for January 11 in Portugal Liga 3
| 📅 11/1/2026 20:00 |
 UD Santarem3.20 |
X 2.88 |
Atletico CP Lisbon  2.30 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon:
🔮 Atletico CP Lisbon wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico CP Lisbon, you can win up to $1150.00!
Some important points for the tip for UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon:
👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Santarem in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-305.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico CP Lisbon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-5.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Atletico CP Lisbon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 UD Santarem matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 Atletico CP Lisbon matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Atletico CP Lisbon has not lost any of them.
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Analysis from UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon for the Portugal Liga 3 – 11 of January
🏟️ UD Santarem X Atletico CP Lisbon – Portugal Liga 3
📅 11 of January, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 UD Santarem – Winning probability: 23.07% | Fair line: 4.33
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.49% | Fair line: 3.28
🔴 Atletico CP Lisbon – Winning probability: 46.44% | Fair line: 2.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 UD Santarem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Santarem and Atletico CP Lisbon.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460349 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it a good idea to bet on UD Santarem?
🔵 UD Santarem: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $506.00;
- And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $564.00
- And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Should you bet on Atletico CP Lisbon?
🔴 Atletico CP Lisbon: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 46.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
- And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$58.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 UD Santarem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 UD Santarem and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 UD Santarem.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Atletico CP Lisbon.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Santarem x Atletico CP Lisbon
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
