UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses Betting tips for September 29 in Portugal Liga 3
| 📅 29/9/2024 13:30 |
 UD Santarem2.40 |
X 3.10 |
CF Os Belenenses  2.83 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses
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The main points for the tip for UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses: 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, CF Os Belenenses scored at least 1 goal(s). |
Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses?
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Analysis from UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses for the Portugal Liga 3 – 29 of September
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🏟️ UD Santarem X CF Os Belenenses – Portugal Liga 3 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between UD Santarem and CF Os Belenenses.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190630 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses
Should you bet on UD Santarem?
🔵 UD Santarem: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 360 times – profiting $504.00;
- And would have lost other 640 times – with a loss of -$640.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.
Is it worth betting on CF Os Belenenses?
🔴 CF Os Belenenses: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 35.25% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $640.50;
- And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$9.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 UD Santarem
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 UD Santarem and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 UD Santarem.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UD Santarem x CF Os Belenenses
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
