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Home » Predictions » Others » UE Porreres x CE Campos Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 11
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 15h30 Spain Tercera Group 11
UE Porreres UE Porreres
PREDICTION UE Porreres wins Probability 96% 1 X 2
CE Campos CE Campos
ODD: @1.17 Don't miss this prediction!

UE Porreres x CE Campos Betting tips for December 1 in Spain Tercera Group 11

Our betting tip for UE Porreres x CE Campos, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
15:30
UE Porreres UE Porreres
1.17
X
6.00
CE Campos CE Campos
11.50

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UE Porreres x CE Campos:

🔮 UE Porreres wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UE Porreres, you can win up to $585.00!

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Some important points for the tip for UE Porreres x CE Campos:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Porreres in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-343.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on CE Campos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 CE Campos matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UE Porreres conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, CE Campos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on UE Porreres x CE Campos?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UE Porreres x CE Campos, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from UE Porreres x CE Campos for the Spain Tercera Group 11 – 1 of December

🏟️ UE Porreres X CE Campos – Spain Tercera Group 11
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 15:30
🔵 UE Porreres – Winning probability: 96.60% | Fair line: 1.04
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 3.05% | Fair line: 32.75
🔴 CE Campos – Winning probability: 0.35% | Fair line: 289.67
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 UE Porreres
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UE Porreres x CE Campos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UE Porreres x CE Campos

Should you bet on UE Porreres?

🔵 UE Porreres: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 96.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $164.90;
  • And would lose other 30 times – losing -$30.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.90.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.05% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 30 times – this would give you a profit of $150.00
  • And would have lost other 970 times – with a loss of -$970.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$820.00.

Is it worth betting on CE Campos?

🔴 CE Campos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 11.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Porreres x CE Campos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 UE Porreres
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Porreres x CE Campos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -2.5 UE Porreres and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 UE Porreres.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -2.0 UE Porreres.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Porreres x CE Campos

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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