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Home » Predictions » UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada Betting tips for November 30 in Andorra Premier Division
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 19h30 Andorra Premier Division
UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma
PREDICTION UE Santa Coloma wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
ODD: @1.19 Don't miss this prediction!

UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada Betting tips for November 30 in Andorra Premier Division

Our betting tip for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
19:30
UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma
1.19
X
6.25
Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada
11.05

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada:

🔮 UE Santa Coloma wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UE Santa Coloma, you can win up to $595.00!

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The main points for the tip for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada:

👉 If you had bet $100 on UE Santa Coloma in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $1.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Penya Encarnada scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Penya Encarnada, UE Santa Coloma scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Penya Encarnada matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Penya Encarnada conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 UE Santa Coloma has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Penya Encarnada playing at home.
👉 It is not a good time for Penya Encarnada as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada for the Andorra Premier Division – 30 of November

🏟️ UE Santa Coloma X Penya Encarnada – Andorra Premier Division
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 UE Santa Coloma – Winning probability: 97.50% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 2.34% | Fair line: 42.67
🔴 Penya Encarnada – Winning probability: 0.16% | Fair line: 632.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 UE Santa Coloma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

Is it a good idea to bet on UE Santa Coloma?

🔵 UE Santa Coloma: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 97.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.19. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 970 times – having a profit of $184.30;
  • And would lose other 30 times – having a loss of -$30.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$154.30.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $105.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$875.00.

Should you bet on Penya Encarnada?

🔴 Penya Encarnada: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 11.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would have lost other 1000 times – with a loss of -$1000.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 UE Santa Coloma
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 UE Santa Coloma and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -2.0 UE Santa Coloma.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 2.0 Penya Encarnada.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Santa Coloma x Penya Encarnada

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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