UE Tona x CE LHospitalet Betting tips for September 29 in Spain Tercera Group 5

Our betting tip for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet, Sunday, 29/9/2024

📅 29/9/2024 07:15

UE Tona 2.50

X 3.10

CE LHospitalet 2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet

The main points for the tip for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet: 👉 If you had bet $100 on CE LHospitalet in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UE Tona scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, CE LHospitalet scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 UE Tona matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 CE LHospitalet matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, UE Tona conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, CE LHospitalet conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for CE LHospitalet as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on UE Tona x CE LHospitalet?

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Analysis from UE Tona x CE LHospitalet for the Spain Tercera Group 5 – 29 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1190630 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet

Is it worth betting on UE Tona?

🔵 UE Tona: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $495.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $588.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on CE LHospitalet?

🔴 CE LHospitalet: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 39.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 390 times – profiting $585.00;
• And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$25.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match UE Tona x CE LHospitalet

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 UE Tona
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 UE Tona and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 UE Tona.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 CE LHospitalet.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UE Tona x CE LHospitalet

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.