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Home » Predictions » Others » Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC Betting tips for December 1 in Hungary NB I
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 18h30 Hungary NB I
Ujpest Ujpest
PREDICTION Ferencvarosi TC Wins Probability 67% 1 X 2
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
ODD: @1.68 Don't miss this prediction!

Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC Betting tips for December 1 in Hungary NB I

Our betting tip for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
18:30
Ujpest Ujpest
4.22
X
3.70
Ferencvarosi TC Ferencvarosi TC
1.68

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC:

🔮 Ferencvarosi TC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ferencvarosi TC, you can win up to $840.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ujpest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-75.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ferencvarosi TC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $45.0.
👉 Ujpest did not concede a goal in the last 5 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Ferencvarosi TC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Ujpest matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC, with Ujpest as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Ujpest conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Ferencvarosi TC.
👉 In the last 4 road matches, Ferencvarosi TC has not lost any of them.
👉 Even as a visitor, Ferencvarosi TC won the last 5 head-to-head matches Ujpest´s territory

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Summary

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Analysis from Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC for the Hungary NB I – 1 of December

🏟️ Ujpest X Ferencvarosi TC – Hungary NB I
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 18:30
🔵 Ujpest – Winning probability: 10.41% | Fair line: 9.61
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.65% | Fair line: 4.62
🔴 Ferencvarosi TC – Winning probability: 67.94% | Fair line: 1.47
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ujpest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ujpest and Ferencvarosi TC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC

Is betting on Ujpest worth it?

🔵 Ujpest: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.41%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $322.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$578.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$186.00.

Is betting on Ferencvarosi TC worth it?

🔴 Ferencvarosi TC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 67.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 680 times – this would give you a profit of $462.40
  • And would lose other 320 times – having a loss of -$320.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$142.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Ujpest
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Ujpest, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Ujpest.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Ujpest.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ujpest x Ferencvarosi TC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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