Ujpest x Puskas Academy Betting tips for July 28 in Hungary NB I

Our betting tip for Ujpest x Puskas Academy, Sunday, 28/7/2024

📅 28/7/2024 13:50

Ujpest 2.70

X 3.40

Puskas Academy 2.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Ujpest x Puskas Academy:

🔮 Puskas Academy wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Puskas Academy, you can win up to $1125.00!

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Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Ujpest x Puskas Academy: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Ujpest in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-255.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Puskas Academy in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-356.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Puskas Academy, Ujpest scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Puskas Academy matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Ujpest matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Ujpest x Puskas Academy, with Ujpest as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Ujpest conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Puskas Academy. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Puskas Academy has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Ujpest x Puskas Academy for the Hungary NB I – 28 of July

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Ujpest x Puskas Academy right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1151649 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Ujpest x Puskas Academy

Is it worth betting on Ujpest?

🔵 Ujpest: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.69% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $340.00;
• And would lose other 800 times – losing -$800.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.28% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $600.00;
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$150.00.

Is it worth betting on Puskas Academy?

🔴 Puskas Academy: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 55.03% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 550 times – profiting $687.50;
• And would lose other 450 times – losing -$450.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$237.50.

Handicaps analysis for the match Ujpest x Puskas Academy

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Ujpest
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ujpest x Puskas Academy

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Ujpest and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Ujpest.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Puskas Academy.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ujpest x Puskas Academy

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.