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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba Betting tips for November 24 in Bahrain Division 2
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Bahrain Division 2
Umm Al Hassam Umm Al Hassam
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 15% 1 X 2
Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al Ittifaq Maqaba
ODD: @3.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba Betting tips for November 24 in Bahrain Division 2

Our betting tip for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
16:00
Umm Al Hassam Umm Al Hassam
1.76
X
3.25
Al Ittifaq Maqaba Al Ittifaq Maqaba
4.15

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1625.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Umm Al Hassam in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Ittifaq Maqaba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-212.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Umm Al Hassam matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2023, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba:

Analysis from Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba for the Bahrain Division 2 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Umm Al Hassam X Al Ittifaq Maqaba – Bahrain Division 2
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 16:00
๐Ÿ”ต Umm Al Hassam – Winning probability: 51.70% | Fair line: 1.93
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.56% | Fair line: 3.07
๐Ÿ”ด Al Ittifaq Maqaba – Winning probability: 15.74% | Fair line: 6.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Umm Al Hassam
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Is betting on Umm Al Hassam worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Umm Al Hassam: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 51.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.76. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $395.20;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$84.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $742.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$72.50.

Is it worth betting on Al Ittifaq Maqaba?

๐Ÿ”ด Al Ittifaq Maqaba: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.74%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$336.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Umm Al Hassam
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Umm Al Hassam, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Umm Al Hassam.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Al Ittifaq Maqaba.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Umm Al Hassam x Al Ittifaq Maqaba

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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