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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Umm Salal x Al Gharafa Betting tips for November 25 in Qatar Stars League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Qatar Stars League
Umm Salal Umm Salal
PREDICTION Al Gharafa Wins Probability 65% 1 X 2
Al Gharafa Al Gharafa
ODD: @1.79 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Umm Salal x Al Gharafa Betting tips for November 25 in Qatar Stars League

Our betting tip for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Umm Salal Umm Salal
3.50
X
4.00
Al Gharafa Al Gharafa
1.79

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Al Gharafa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Al Gharafa, you can win up to $895.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Umm Salal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-161.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Al Gharafa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $240.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Al Gharafa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Umm Salal conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Al Gharafa.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Even as a visitor, Al Gharafa won the last 5 head-to-head matches Umm Salalยดs territory

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Umm Salal x Al Gharafa?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Umm Salal x Al Gharafa, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Umm Salal x Al Gharafa for the Qatar Stars League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Umm Salal X Al Gharafa – Qatar Stars League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Umm Salal – Winning probability: 13.94% | Fair line: 7.17
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.14% | Fair line: 4.96
๐Ÿ”ด Al Gharafa – Winning probability: 65.92% | Fair line: 1.52
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Umm Salal
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Umm Salal x Al Gharafa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa

Should you bet on Umm Salal?

๐Ÿ”ต Umm Salal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 13.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $350.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$510.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$200.00.

Should you bet on Al Gharafa?

๐Ÿ”ด Al Gharafa: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 65.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.79. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 660 times – this would give you a profit of $521.40
  • And would lose other 340 times – having a loss of -$340.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$181.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Umm Salal x Al Gharafa

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Umm Salal
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Umm Salal and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Umm Salal.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Umm Salal.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Umm Salal x Al Gharafa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves