Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor Betting tips for December 21 in Türkiye 1 Lig
| 📅 21/12/2025 13:00 |
 Umraniyespor1.07 |
X 9.50 |
Adana Demirspor  16.50 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor:
🔮 Umraniyespor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Umraniyespor, you can win up to $535.00!
Important information for your tip for Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Umraniyespor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $700.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Adana Demirspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Umraniyespor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 Adana Demirspor matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Adana Demirspor conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Adana Demirspor as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.
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Analysis from Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor for the Türkiye 1 Lig – 21 of December
🏟️ Umraniyespor X Adana Demirspor – Türkiye 1 Lig
📅 21 of December, 2025 – 13:00
🔵 Umraniyespor – Winning probability: 99.17% | Fair line: 1.01
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.45% | Fair line: 220.25
🔴 Adana Demirspor – Winning probability: 0.38% | Fair line: 263.52
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Umraniyespor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455219 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor
Is it worth betting on Umraniyespor?
🔵 Umraniyespor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.07. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 990 times – this would give you a profit of $69.30
- And would have lost other 10 times – with a loss of -$10.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$59.30.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 9.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Adana Demirspor?
🔴 Adana Demirspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 16.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – this would give you a profit of $0.00
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.5 Umraniyespor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.5 Umraniyespor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.5 Umraniyespor.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Umraniyespor x Adana Demirspor
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
