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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice
PREDICTION Unia Skierniewice wins Probability 7% 1 X 2
LKS Lomza LKS Lomza
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
Unia Skierniewice Unia Skierniewice
1.38
X
4.45
LKS Lomza LKS Lomza
6.05

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Unia Skierniewice wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Unia Skierniewice, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Unia Skierniewice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on LKS Lomza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ LKS Lomza did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Unia Skierniewice scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Unia Skierniewice conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, LKS Lomza conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for LKS Lomza as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza

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Summary

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Analysis from Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Unia Skierniewice X LKS Lomza – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Unia Skierniewice – Winning probability: 75.80% | Fair line: 1.32
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.78% | Fair line: 5.96
๐Ÿ”ด LKS Lomza – Winning probability: 7.42% | Fair line: 13.48
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Unia Skierniewice
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Unia Skierniewice and LKS Lomza.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza

Is it worth betting on Unia Skierniewice?

๐Ÿ”ต Unia Skierniewice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $288.80
  • And would lose other 240 times – losing -$240.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$48.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $586.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$243.50.

Should you bet on LKS Lomza?

๐Ÿ”ด LKS Lomza: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $353.50
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$576.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Unia Skierniewice
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Unia Skierniewice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.25 Unia Skierniewice.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.25 LKS Lomza.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Unia Skierniewice x LKS Lomza

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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