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Home » Predictions » Union La Calera x Cobresal Betting tips for November 10 in Chile Primera Division
Sunday, 10 November 2024, 15h00 Chile Primera Division
Union La Calera Union La Calera
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Cobresal Cobresal
ODD: @3.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Union La Calera x Cobresal Betting tips for November 10 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Union La Calera x Cobresal, Sunday, 10/11/2024
📅 10/11/2024
15:00
Union La Calera Union La Calera
2.25
X
3.22
Cobresal Cobresal
3.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Union La Calera x Cobresal:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Union La Calera x Cobresal:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union La Calera in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $24.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cobresal in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Cobresal did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Cobresal matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Union La Calera conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Cobresal conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Union La Calera conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Cobresal.
👉 It is not a good time for Cobresal as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Union La Calera x Cobresal for the Chile Primera Division – 10 of November

🏟️ Union La Calera X Cobresal – Chile Primera Division
📅 10 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Union La Calera – Winning probability: 36.22% | Fair line: 2.76
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.32% | Fair line: 2.91
🔴 Cobresal – Winning probability: 29.46% | Fair line: 3.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union La Calera
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Union La Calera x Cobresal is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1218874 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Union La Calera x Cobresal

Is betting on Union La Calera worth it?

🔵 Union La Calera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $450.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 34.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $754.80;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$94.80.

Is it worth betting on Cobresal?

🔴 Cobresal: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.46% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 290 times – this would give you a profit of $580.00
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$130.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union La Calera x Cobresal

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union La Calera
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union La Calera x Cobresal

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Union La Calera, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Union La Calera.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union La Calera x Cobresal

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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