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Home » Predictions » Others » Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for November 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 19h45 Argentina Liga Profesional
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
PREDICTION Union Santa Fe wins Probability 58% 1 X 2
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
ODD: @2.03 Don't miss this prediction!

Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán Betting tips for November 9 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
19:45
Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe
2.03
X
3.15
Atlético Tucumán Atlético Tucumán
3.80

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán:

🔮 Union Santa Fe wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Union Santa Fe, you can win up to $1015.00!

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Important information for your tip for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Santa Fe in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-145.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atlético Tucumán in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Atlético Tucumán, Union Santa Fe scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Union Santa Fe matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 Atlético Tucumán matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Union Santa Fe has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Atlético Tucumán playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 9 of November

🏟️ Union Santa Fe X Atlético Tucumán – Argentina Liga Profesional
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Union Santa Fe – Winning probability: 58.50% | Fair line: 1.71
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.18% | Fair line: 3.68
🔴 Atlético Tucumán – Winning probability: 14.32% | Fair line: 6.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1218440 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán

Should you bet on Union Santa Fe?

🔵 Union Santa Fe: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.03. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $597.40
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$177.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – this would give you a profit of $580.50
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$149.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Atlético Tucumán?

🔴 Atlético Tucumán: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – profiting $392.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$468.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Union Santa Fe
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Union Santa Fe, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Union Santa Fe.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Union Santa Fe x Atlético Tucumán

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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