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Home » Predictions » Others » Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido Betting tips for November 9 in Chile Primera Division
Saturday, 09 November 2024, 21h00 Chile Primera Division
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
ODD: @3.1 Don't miss this prediction!

Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido Betting tips for November 9 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido, Saturday, 9/11/2024
📅 9/11/2024
21:00
Universidad Catolica Universidad Catolica
2.20
X
3.10
Coquimbo Unido Coquimbo Unido
3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1550.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Catolica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-133.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Coquimbo Unido in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Universidad Catolica conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Coquimbo Unido conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Coquimbo Unido as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido for the Chile Primera Division – 9 of November

🏟️ Universidad Catolica X Coquimbo Unido – Chile Primera Division
📅 9 of November, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Universidad Catolica – Winning probability: 41.79% | Fair line: 2.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.07% | Fair line: 2.94
🔴 Coquimbo Unido – Winning probability: 24.14% | Fair line: 4.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universidad Catolica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218775 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido

Is it worth betting on Universidad Catolica?

🔵 Universidad Catolica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 41.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would lose other 580 times – having a loss of -$580.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.07% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $714.00
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$54.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Coquimbo Unido?

🔴 Coquimbo Unido: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $532.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$227.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Universidad Catolica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Universidad Catolica and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Universidad Catolica.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Universidad Catolica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Catolica x Coquimbo Unido

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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