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Home » Predictions » Others » Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano Betting tips for February 24 in Chile Primera Division
Saturday, 24 February 2024, 21h00 Chile Primera Division
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
PREDICTION Universidad de Chile wins Probability 63% 1 X 2
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
ODD: @1.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano Betting tips for February 24 in Chile Primera Division

Our betting tip for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano, Saturday, 24/2/2024
📅 24/2/2024
21:00
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
1.80
X
3.45
Audax Italiano Audax Italiano
4.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano:

🔮 Universidad de Chile wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universidad de Chile, you can win up to $900.00!

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The main points for the tip for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad de Chile in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-114.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Audax Italiano in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $400.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Universidad de Chile scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Universidad de Chile matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Universidad de Chile conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Audax Italiano conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano for the Chile Primera Division – 24 of February

🏟️ Universidad de Chile X Audax Italiano – Chile Primera Division
📅 24 of February, 2024 – 21:00
🔵 Universidad de Chile – Winning probability: 63.28% | Fair line: 1.58
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.60% | Fair line: 4.06
🔴 Audax Italiano – Winning probability: 12.12% | Fair line: 8.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Universidad de Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1063755 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano

Is betting on Universidad de Chile worth it?

🔵 Universidad de Chile: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.28% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 630 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
  • And would have lost other 370 times – with a loss of -$370.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$134.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $612.50
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$137.50.

Is it worth betting on Audax Italiano?

🔴 Audax Italiano: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 12.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $360.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$520.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Universidad de Chile
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Universidad de Chile, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Universidad de Chile.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Universidad de Chile.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad de Chile x Audax Italiano

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves