Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas Betting tips for November 10 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas, Sunday, 10/11/2024

📅 10/11/2024 01:00

Universidad Guadalajara 1.82

X 3.55

Mineros de Zacatecas 3.70

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas

Important information for your tip for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Universidad Guadalajara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-57.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Mineros de Zacatecas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Mineros de Zacatecas, Universidad Guadalajara scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Mineros de Zacatecas has not lost any of them. 👉 Universidad Guadalajara has won all the last 4 matches playing at home against Mineros de Zacatecas.

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Analysis from Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 10 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1218775 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas

Is betting on Universidad Guadalajara worth it?

🔵 Universidad Guadalajara: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $434.60;
• And would lose other 470 times – having a loss of -$470.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$35.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.94% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
• And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$112.50.

Should you bet on Mineros de Zacatecas?

🔴 Mineros de Zacatecas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $594.00;
• And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$186.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Universidad Guadalajara, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Universidad Guadalajara.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mineros de Zacatecas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universidad Guadalajara x Mineros de Zacatecas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.