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Home » Predictions » Others » Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W) Betting tips for December 13 in Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
Saturday, 13 December 2025, 21h00 Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
Universitario de Deportes (W) Universitario de Deportes (W)
PREDICTION Universitario de Deportes (W) wins Probability 69% 1 X 2
Alianza Lima (W) Alianza Lima (W)
ODD: @1.72
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Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W) Betting tips for December 13 in Peru Campeonato Nacional Women

Our betting tip for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W), Saturday, 13/12/2025
📅 13/12/2025
21:00
Universitario de Deportes (W) Universitario de Deportes (W)
1.72
X
3.62
Alianza Lima (W) Alianza Lima (W)
3.93

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W):

🔮 Universitario de Deportes (W) wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Universitario de Deportes (W), you can win up to $860.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W):

👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza Lima (W) in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
👉 Universitario de Deportes (W) did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 Alianza Lima (W) did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Alianza Lima (W) matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Alianza Lima (W) has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W) for the Peru Campeonato Nacional Women – 13 of December

🏟️ Universitario de Deportes (W) X Alianza Lima (W) – Peru Campeonato Nacional Women
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 21:00
🔵 Universitario de Deportes (W) – Winning probability: 69.74% | Fair line: 1.43
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.39% | Fair line: 5.44
🔴 Alianza Lima (W) – Winning probability: 11.86% | Fair line: 8.43
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Universitario de Deportes (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W) right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452291 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W)

Is it worth betting on Universitario de Deportes (W)?

🔵 Universitario de Deportes (W): the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 69.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 700 times – having a profit of $504.00;
  • And would have lost other 300 times – with a loss of -$300.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$204.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.62. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $471.60
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$348.40.

Is betting on Alianza Lima (W) worth it?

🔴 Alianza Lima (W): the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.86% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.93. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $351.60
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$528.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W)

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Universitario de Deportes (W)
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W)

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.75 Universitario de Deportes (W) and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Universitario de Deportes (W).

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Universitario de Deportes (W) x Alianza Lima (W)

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves