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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Russia Youth Championship
UOR-5 U19 UOR-5 U19
PREDICTION UOR-5 U19 wins Probability 12% 1 X 2
Konoplev Football Academy U19 Konoplev Football Academy U19
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction!

UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship

Our betting tip for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
10:00
UOR-5 U19 UOR-5 U19
1.70
X
4.18
Konoplev Football Academy U19 Konoplev Football Academy U19
4.08

Our algorithm has selected this tip for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ UOR-5 U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on UOR-5 U19, you can win up to $850.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on UOR-5 U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $237.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Konoplev Football Academy U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $139.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, UOR-5 U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Konoplev Football Academy U19 matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ UOR-5 U19 is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19 for the Russia Youth Championship – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ UOR-5 U19 X Konoplev Football Academy U19 – Russia Youth Championship
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต UOR-5 U19 – Winning probability: 74.39% | Fair line: 1.34
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.36% | Fair line: 7.48
๐Ÿ”ด Konoplev Football Academy U19 – Winning probability: 12.24% | Fair line: 8.17
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UOR-5 U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19

Should you bet on UOR-5 U19?

๐Ÿ”ต UOR-5 U19: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 74.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 740 times – profiting $518.00;
  • And would have lost other 260 times – with a loss of -$260.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$258.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.36%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.18. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $413.40;
  • And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$456.60.

Is it worth betting on Konoplev Football Academy U19?

๐Ÿ”ด Konoplev Football Academy U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.24% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.08. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 120 times – having a profit of $369.60;
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$510.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UOR-5 U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 UOR-5 U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 UOR-5 U19.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Konoplev Football Academy U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UOR-5 U19 x Konoplev Football Academy U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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