UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC Betting tips for November 27 in Uganda Premier League
| 📅 27/11/2024 13:00 |
 UPDF FC2.25 |
X 2.80 |
Uganda Police FC  3.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC:
👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC
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The main points for the tip for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC: 👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC, with UPDF FC as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. |
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Analysis from UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC for the Uganda Premier League – 27 of November
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🏟️ UPDF FC X Uganda Police FC – Uganda Premier League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1228778 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC
Is betting on UPDF FC worth it?
🔵 UPDF FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $537.50
- And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$32.50.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 35.4% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 350 times – having a profit of $630.00;
- And would lose other 650 times – having a loss of -$650.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.00.
Should you bet on Uganda Police FC?
🔴 Uganda Police FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.81% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 UPDF FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 UPDF FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 UPDF FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 UPDF FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UPDF FC x Uganda Police FC
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 1.75 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 1.75 goals.
