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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds
PREDICTION Urawa Red Diamonds wins Probability 9% 1 X 2
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
ODD: @1.66 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds
1.66
X
3.40
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
5.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Urawa Red Diamonds wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Urawa Red Diamonds, you can win up to $830.00!

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The main points for the tip for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Urawa Red Diamonds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avispa Fukuoka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $515.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Avispa Fukuoka scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Avispa Fukuoka, Urawa Red Diamonds scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka, with Urawa Red Diamonds as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Urawa Red Diamonds has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Avispa Fukuoka playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

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Summary

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Analysis from Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka for the Japan J-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Urawa Red Diamonds X Avispa Fukuoka – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Urawa Red Diamonds – Winning probability: 70.71% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.92% | Fair line: 5.02
๐Ÿ”ด Avispa Fukuoka – Winning probability: 9.37% | Fair line: 10.67
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Urawa Red Diamonds
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

Is it a good idea to bet on Urawa Red Diamonds?

๐Ÿ”ต Urawa Red Diamonds: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.71% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.66. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $468.60;
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$178.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.92% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 200 times – this would give you a profit of $480.00
  • And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$320.00.

Should you bet on Avispa Fukuoka?

๐Ÿ”ด Avispa Fukuoka: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.37% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $382.50;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$527.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Urawa Red Diamonds
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Urawa Red Diamonds, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Urawa Red Diamonds.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Avispa Fukuoka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves