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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds
PREDICTION Urawa Red Diamonds wins Probability 9% 1 X 2
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
ODD: @1.67 Don't miss this prediction!

Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds
1.67
X
3.40
Avispa Fukuoka Avispa Fukuoka
5.25

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Urawa Red Diamonds wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Urawa Red Diamonds, you can win up to $835.00!

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The main points for the tip for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Urawa Red Diamonds in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $33.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Avispa Fukuoka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $515.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, Avispa Fukuoka scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Avispa Fukuoka, Urawa Red Diamonds scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka, with Urawa Red Diamonds as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Urawa Red Diamonds has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Avispa Fukuoka playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

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Summary

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Analysis from Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka for the Japan J-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Urawa Red Diamonds X Avispa Fukuoka – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Urawa Red Diamonds – Winning probability: 70.03% | Fair line: 1.43
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.30% | Fair line: 4.93
๐Ÿ”ด Avispa Fukuoka – Winning probability: 9.67% | Fair line: 10.34
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Urawa Red Diamonds
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

Is it a good idea to bet on Urawa Red Diamonds?

๐Ÿ”ต Urawa Red Diamonds: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 700 times – this would give you a profit of $469.00
  • And would lose other 300 times – having a loss of -$300.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$169.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $480.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$320.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Avispa Fukuoka?

๐Ÿ”ด Avispa Fukuoka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $425.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$475.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Urawa Red Diamonds
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Urawa Red Diamonds, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Urawa Red Diamonds.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Avispa Fukuoka.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Urawa Red Diamonds x Avispa Fukuoka

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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