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Home » Predictions » Others » US Breno x ASD Varesina Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
US Breno US Breno
PREDICTION No tip
ASD Varesina ASD Varesina
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US Breno x ASD Varesina Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Breno x ASD Varesina, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
13:30
US Breno US Breno
2.26
X
3.34
ASD Varesina ASD Varesina
2.74

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Breno x ASD Varesina:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for US Breno x ASD Varesina

The main points for the tip for US Breno x ASD Varesina:

👉 If you had bet $100 on US Breno in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-44.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Varesina in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $425.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, ASD Varesina conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from US Breno x ASD Varesina for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

🏟️ US Breno X ASD Varesina – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 US Breno – Winning probability: 41.91% | Fair line: 2.39
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.88% | Fair line: 3.86
🔴 ASD Varesina – Winning probability: 32.21% | Fair line: 3.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Breno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Breno and ASD Varesina.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Breno x ASD Varesina

Is it worth betting on US Breno?

🔵 US Breno: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.26. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $529.20;
  • And would have lost other 580 times – with a loss of -$580.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$50.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.88%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $608.40;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$131.60.

Is betting on ASD Varesina worth it?

🔴 ASD Varesina: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.74. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $556.80
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$123.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Breno x ASD Varesina

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 US Breno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Breno x ASD Varesina

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 US Breno, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 US Breno.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Breno x ASD Varesina

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves