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Home » Predictions » Others » US Breno x USD Casatese Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
US Breno US Breno
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 35% 1 X 2
USD Casatese USD Casatese
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

US Breno x USD Casatese Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for US Breno x USD Casatese, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
US Breno US Breno
2.50
X
3.00
USD Casatese USD Casatese
2.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Breno x USD Casatese:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for US Breno x USD Casatese:

👉 In the last 3 road matches, USD Casatese has not lost any of them.
👉 US Breno has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against USD Casatese playing at home.

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Summary

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If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on US Breno x USD Casatese:

Analysis from US Breno x USD Casatese for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ US Breno X USD Casatese – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 US Breno – Winning probability: 32.64% | Fair line: 3.06
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.23% | Fair line: 2.84
🔴 USD Casatese – Winning probability: 32.13% | Fair line: 3.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Breno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for US Breno x USD Casatese right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1230121 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Breno x USD Casatese

Should you bet on US Breno?

🔵 US Breno: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.64% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$175.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.23%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $700.00;
  • And would lose other 650 times – losing -$650.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on USD Casatese?

🔴 USD Casatese: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.13% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $512.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Breno x USD Casatese

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Breno
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Breno x USD Casatese

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 US Breno and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 US Breno.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 US Breno.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Breno x USD Casatese

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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