US Quevilly x Aubagne Betting tips for March 22 in France National
| 📅 22/3/2025 18:30 |
 US Quevilly2.09 |
X 3.10 |
Aubagne  3.30 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for US Quevilly x Aubagne:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for US Quevilly x Aubagne
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Some important points for the tip for US Quevilly x Aubagne: 👉 If you had bet $100 on US Quevilly in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0. |
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Analysis from US Quevilly x Aubagne for the France National – 22 of March
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🏟️ US Quevilly X Aubagne – France National |
When the best bet on US Quevilly x Aubagne is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1285031 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for US Quevilly x Aubagne
Is betting on US Quevilly worth it?
🔵 US Quevilly: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.09. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 440 times – profiting $479.60;
- And would have lost other 560 times – with a loss of -$560.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$80.40.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $609.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$101.00.
Is betting on Aubagne worth it?
🔴 Aubagne: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $621.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$109.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match US Quevilly x Aubagne
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 US Quevilly
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Quevilly x Aubagne
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 US Quevilly, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 US Quevilly.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Quevilly x Aubagne
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
