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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป US Quevilly x Valenciennes Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 France Ligue 2
US Quevilly US Quevilly
PREDICTION US Quevilly wins Probability 7% 1 X 2
Valenciennes Valenciennes
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

US Quevilly x Valenciennes Betting tips for November 25 in France Ligue 2

Our betting tip for US Quevilly x Valenciennes, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
18:00
US Quevilly US Quevilly
1.73
X
3.42
Valenciennes Valenciennes
4.10

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Quevilly x Valenciennes:

๐Ÿ”ฎ US Quevilly wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on US Quevilly, you can win up to $865.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for US Quevilly x Valenciennes:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Quevilly in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-290.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Valenciennes in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-333.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, US Quevilly scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Valenciennes, US Quevilly scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 US Quevilly matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, US Quevilly conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, US Quevilly conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Valenciennes.
๐Ÿ‘‰ US Quevilly has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Valenciennes playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for US Quevilly x Valenciennes

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Summary

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Analysis from US Quevilly x Valenciennes for the France Ligue 2 – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ US Quevilly X Valenciennes – France Ligue 2
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต US Quevilly – Winning probability: 78.56% | Fair line: 1.27
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.15% | Fair line: 7.07
๐Ÿ”ด Valenciennes – Winning probability: 7.29% | Fair line: 13.72
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 US Quevilly
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on US Quevilly x Valenciennes is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for US Quevilly x Valenciennes

Is betting on US Quevilly worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต US Quevilly: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.56% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.73. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 790 times – having a profit of $576.70;
  • And would lose other 210 times – losing -$210.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$366.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.15% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.42. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $338.80
  • And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$521.20.

Is betting on Valenciennes worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Valenciennes: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $217.00
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$713.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match US Quevilly x Valenciennes

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 US Quevilly
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Quevilly x Valenciennes

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 US Quevilly, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 US Quevilly.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 US Quevilly.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Quevilly x Valenciennes

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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