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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» US Souf x MC Alger Betting tips for November 25 in Algeria Division 1
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Algeria Division 1
US Souf US Souf
PREDICTION No tip
MC Alger MC Alger
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US Souf x MC Alger Betting tips for November 25 in Algeria Division 1

Our betting tip for US Souf x MC Alger, Saturday, 25/11/2023
πŸ“… 25/11/2023
14:00
US Souf US Souf
4.33
X
3.00
MC Alger MC Alger
1.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for US Souf x MC Alger:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for US Souf x MC Alger

Some important points for the tip for US Souf x MC Alger:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on US Souf in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-345.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on MC Alger in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, MC Alger scored at least 1 goal(s).

πŸ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for US Souf x MC Alger

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Summary

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Analysis from US Souf x MC Alger for the Algeria Division 1 – 25 of November

🏟️ US Souf X MC Alger – Algeria Division 1
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ US Souf – Winning probability: 7.95% | Fair line: 12.57
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.31% | Fair line: 3.53
πŸ”΄ MC Alger – Winning probability: 63.73% | Fair line: 1.57
βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 US Souf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between US Souf and MC Alger.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for US Souf x MC Alger

Is betting on US Souf worth it?

πŸ”΅ US Souf: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 80 times – having a profit of $266.40;
  • And would lose other 920 times – losing -$920.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$653.60.

Should you bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 28.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $560.00;
  • And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Should you bet on MC Alger?

πŸ”΄ MC Alger: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.73% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.85. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – this would give you a profit of $544.00
  • And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$184.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match US Souf x MC Alger

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 US Souf
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for US Souf x MC Alger

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 US Souf and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 US Souf. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for US Souf x MC Alger

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves