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Home » Predictions » Others » USA x Panama Betting tips for March 21 in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, 21 March 2025, 00h00 CONCACAF Nations League
USA USA
PREDICTION USA wins Probability 87% 1 X 2
Panama Panama
ODD: @1.3 Don't miss this prediction!

USA x Panama Betting tips for March 21 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for USA x Panama, Friday, 21/3/2025
📅 21/3/2025
00:00
USA USA
1.30
X
4.42
Panama Panama
10.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for USA x Panama:

🔮 USA wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USA, you can win up to $650.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for USA x Panama:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USA in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $93.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Panama in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, USA scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Panama scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Panama, USA scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 USA matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 USA is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 USA has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Panama playing at home.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on USA x Panama?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on USA x Panama:

Analysis from USA x Panama for the CONCACAF Nations League – 21 of March

🏟️ USA X Panama – CONCACAF Nations League
📅 21 of March, 2025 – 00:00
🔵 USA – Winning probability: 87.59% | Fair line: 1.14
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.11% | Fair line: 9.89
🔴 Panama – Winning probability: 2.31% | Fair line: 43.35
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 USA
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on USA x Panama is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1284994 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for USA x Panama

Is betting on USA worth it?

🔵 USA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 87.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 880 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
  • And would lose other 120 times – having a loss of -$120.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$144.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.42. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $342.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$558.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Panama?

🔴 Panama: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 2.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $180.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$800.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match USA x Panama

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 USA
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USA x Panama

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 USA, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 USA.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USA x Panama

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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