USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra Betting tips for December 13 in Mali Premiere Division
| 📅 13/12/2025 16:00 |
USFAS Bamako2.04 |
X 3.00 |
FC Diarra ![]() 3.56 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra:
👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra
Important information for your tip for USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra:
👉 If you had bet $100 on USFAS Bamako in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-38.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, FC Diarra scored at least 1 goal(s).
Looking for another bookie to bet on USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra?
If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2025. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:
Analysis from USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra for the Mali Premiere Division – 13 of December
🏟️ USFAS Bamako X FC Diarra – Mali Premiere Division
📅 13 of December, 2025 – 16:00
🔵 USFAS Bamako – Winning probability: 50.60% | Fair line: 1.98
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.31% | Fair line: 3.53
🔴 FC Diarra – Winning probability: 21.09% | Fair line: 4.74
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 USFAS Bamako
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
When the best bet on USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1452291 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra
Is it worth betting on USFAS Bamako?
🔵 USFAS Bamako: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.04. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 510 times – profiting $530.40;
- And would lose other 490 times – losing -$490.00 with them.
It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$40.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
- And would lose other 720 times – losing -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$160.00.
Should you bet on FC Diarra?
🔴 FC Diarra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 21.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $537.60
- And would lose other 790 times – having a loss of -$790.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.40.
Handicaps analysis for the match USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 USFAS Bamako
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 USFAS Bamako, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 USFAS Bamako.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 USFAS Bamako.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USFAS Bamako x FC Diarra
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

USFAS Bamako