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Home » Predictions » Others » USM Alger x Orapa United Betting tips for November 27 in CAF Confederations Cup
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 19h00 CAF Confederations Cup
USM Alger USM Alger
PREDICTION USM Alger wins Probability 99% 1 X 2
Orapa United Orapa United
ODD: @1.12 Don't miss this prediction!

USM Alger x Orapa United Betting tips for November 27 in CAF Confederations Cup

Our betting tip for USM Alger x Orapa United, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
19:00
USM Alger USM Alger
1.12
X
6.50
Orapa United Orapa United
17.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for USM Alger x Orapa United:

🔮 USM Alger wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USM Alger, you can win up to $560.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for USM Alger x Orapa United:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USM Alger in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $41.0.
👉 USM Alger did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Orapa United scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 USM Alger matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on USM Alger x Orapa United?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on USM Alger x Orapa United, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from USM Alger x Orapa United for the CAF Confederations Cup – 27 of November

🏟️ USM Alger X Orapa United – CAF Confederations Cup
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 USM Alger – Winning probability: 99.75% | Fair line: 1.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 0.23% | Fair line: 429.48
🔴 Orapa United – Winning probability: 0.02% | Fair line: 5028.76
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 USM Alger
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on USM Alger x Orapa United is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for USM Alger x Orapa United

Is it worth betting on USM Alger?

🔵 USM Alger: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 99.75% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.12. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 1000 times – this would give you a profit of $120.00
  • And would have lost other 0 times – with a loss of -$0.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$120.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.23% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Should you bet on Orapa United?

🔴 Orapa United: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.02% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 17.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 0 times – having a profit of $0.00;
  • And would lose other 1000 times – losing -$1000.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match USM Alger x Orapa United

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -2.0 USM Alger
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Alger x Orapa United

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -2.0 USM Alger, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -2.0 USM Alger.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Alger x Orapa United

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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