USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun Betting tips for November 25 in Algeria Division 1
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25/11/2023 14:00 |
 USM Khenchela1.40 |
X 3.82 |
ES Ben Aknoun  7.83 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun:
๐ฎ USM Khenchela wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USM Khenchela, you can win up to $700.00!
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Some important points for the tip for USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun: ๐ If you had bet $100 on USM Khenchela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $188.0. |
๐ Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun
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Analysis from USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun for the Algeria Division 1 – 25 of November
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๐๏ธ USM Khenchela X ES Ben Aknoun – Algeria Division 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between USM Khenchela and ES Ben Aknoun.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun
Is it worth betting on USM Khenchela?
๐ต USM Khenchela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 80.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 810 times – this would give you a profit of $324.00
- And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$134.00.
Should you bet on draw?
โช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.54%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.82. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $451.20
- And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$388.80.
Should you bet on ES Ben Aknoun?
๐ด ES Ben Aknoun: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 3.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.83. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 40 times – profiting $273.20;
- And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$686.80.
Handicaps analysis for the match USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 USM Khenchela
โฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 USM Khenchela, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 USM Khenchela.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 USM Khenchela.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Khenchela x ES Ben Aknoun
โฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
