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Home » Predictions » USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou Betting tips for November 30 in Algeria Division 1
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 14h00 Algeria Division 1
USM Khenchela USM Khenchela
PREDICTION No tip
Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou
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USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou Betting tips for November 30 in Algeria Division 1

Our betting tip for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
14:00
USM Khenchela USM Khenchela
1.93
X
3.00
Olympique Akbou Olympique Akbou
3.83

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou

The main points for the tip for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou:

👉 If you had bet $100 on USM Khenchela in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $66.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Olympique Akbou in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
👉 In the last 5 USM Khenchela matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Summary

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Analysis from USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou for the Algeria Division 1 – 30 of November

🏟️ USM Khenchela X Olympique Akbou – Algeria Division 1
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 USM Khenchela – Winning probability: 45.88% | Fair line: 2.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 32.94% | Fair line: 3.04
🔴 Olympique Akbou – Winning probability: 21.18% | Fair line: 4.72
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 USM Khenchela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229690 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou

Is it a good idea to bet on USM Khenchela?

🔵 USM Khenchela: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.88% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.93. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 460 times – this would give you a profit of $427.80
  • And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$112.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.94%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $660.00;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$10.00.

Should you bet on Olympique Akbou?

🔴 Olympique Akbou: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $594.30;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$195.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 USM Khenchela
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 USM Khenchela and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 USM Khenchela.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Olympique Akbou.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for USM Khenchela x Olympique Akbou

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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