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Home Β» Predictions Β» UT Petange x UNA Strassen Betting tips for October 20 in Luxembourg Division Nationale
Sunday, 20 October 2024, 14h00 Luxembourg Division Nationale
UT Petange UT Petange
PREDICTION No tip
UNA Strassen UNA Strassen
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UT Petange x UNA Strassen Betting tips for October 20 in Luxembourg Division Nationale

Our betting tip for UT Petange x UNA Strassen, Sunday, 20/10/2024
πŸ“… 20/10/2024
14:00
UT Petange UT Petange
2.64
X
3.11
UNA Strassen UNA Strassen
2.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for UT Petange x UNA Strassen:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for UT Petange x UNA Strassen

Important information for your tip for UT Petange x UNA Strassen:

πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, UNA Strassen scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, UT Petange conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against UNA Strassen.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, UNA Strassen has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from UT Petange x UNA Strassen for the Luxembourg Division Nationale – 20 of October

🏟️ UT Petange X UNA Strassen – Luxembourg Division Nationale
πŸ“… 20 of October, 2024 – 14:00
πŸ”΅ UT Petange – Winning probability: 33.78% | Fair line: 2.96
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.92% | Fair line: 3.34
πŸ”΄ UNA Strassen – Winning probability: 36.31% | Fair line: 2.75
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UT Petange
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on UT Petange x UNA Strassen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1204480 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for UT Petange x UNA Strassen

Is it a good idea to bet on UT Petange?

πŸ”΅ UT Petange: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.64. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $557.60;
  • And would lose other 660 times – losing -$660.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$102.40.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.11. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $633.00
  • And would lose other 700 times – having a loss of -$700.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$67.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on UNA Strassen?

πŸ”΄ UNA Strassen: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 36.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $496.80;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$143.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match UT Petange x UNA Strassen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 UT Petange
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for UT Petange x UNA Strassen

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 UT Petange, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 UT Petange.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 UT Petange.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for UT Petange x UNA Strassen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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