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Home » Predictions » Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC Betting tips for November 3 in Thailand Premier League
Sunday, 03 November 2024, 11h00 Thailand Premier League
Uthai Thani FC Uthai Thani FC
PREDICTION No tip
Nakhon Pathom FC Nakhon Pathom FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC Betting tips for November 3 in Thailand Premier League

Our betting tip for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC, Sunday, 3/11/2024
📅 3/11/2024
11:00
Uthai Thani FC Uthai Thani FC
1.79
X
3.63
Nakhon Pathom FC Nakhon Pathom FC
3.73

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC

The main points for the tip for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Uthai Thani FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Nakhon Pathom FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $125.0.
👉 Nakhon Pathom FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Uthai Thani FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Uthai Thani FC has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Nakhon Pathom FC playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC for the Thailand Premier League – 3 of November

🏟️ Uthai Thani FC X Nakhon Pathom FC – Thailand Premier League
📅 3 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Uthai Thani FC – Winning probability: 57.67% | Fair line: 1.73
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.39% | Fair line: 3.94
🔴 Nakhon Pathom FC – Winning probability: 16.94% | Fair line: 5.9
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Uthai Thani FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1212710 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC

Should you bet on Uthai Thani FC?

🔵 Uthai Thani FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $458.20;
  • And would lose other 420 times – having a loss of -$420.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$38.20. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $657.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$92.50.

Is betting on Nakhon Pathom FC worth it?

🔴 Nakhon Pathom FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.73. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – profiting $464.10;
  • And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$365.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Uthai Thani FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Uthai Thani FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Uthai Thani FC.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uthai Thani FC x Nakhon Pathom FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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