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Home » Predictions » Others » Valencia x Elche Betting tips for January 10 in Spain La Liga
Saturday, 10 January 2026, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Valencia Valencia
PREDICTION Valencia wins Probability 50% 1 X 2
Elche Elche
ODD: @2.17
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Valencia x Elche Betting tips for January 10 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Valencia x Elche, Saturday, 10/1/2026
📅 10/1/2026
20:00
Valencia Valencia
2.17
X
3.20
Elche Elche
3.52

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Valencia x Elche:

🔮 Valencia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Valencia, you can win up to $1085.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Valencia x Elche:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Elche in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-152.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Elche scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Elche, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Valencia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Valencia has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Elche playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Valencia x Elche for the Spain La Liga – 10 of January

🏟️ Valencia X Elche – Spain La Liga
📅 10 of January, 2026 – 20:00
🔵 Valencia – Winning probability: 50.91% | Fair line: 1.96
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.22% | Fair line: 4.31
🔴 Elche – Winning probability: 25.87% | Fair line: 3.87
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Tips for the Match Odds market for Valencia x Elche

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Valencia and Elche.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1460319 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Is it a good idea to bet on Valencia?

🔵 Valencia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 50.91% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 510 times – this would give you a profit of $596.70
  • And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$106.70.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $506.00;
  • And would have lost other 770 times – with a loss of -$770.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$264.00.

Is betting on Elche worth it?

🔴 Elche: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.87%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.52. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $655.20;
  • And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$84.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia x Elche

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia x Elche

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Valencia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Valencia. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia x Elche

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves