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Home » Predictions » Others » Valencia x Real Madrid Betting tips for January 3 in Spain La Liga
Friday, 03 January 2025, 20h00 Spain La Liga
Valencia Valencia
PREDICTION Real Madrid Wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Real Madrid Real Madrid
ODD: @1.47 Don't miss this prediction!

Valencia x Real Madrid Betting tips for January 3 in Spain La Liga

Our betting tip for Valencia x Real Madrid, Friday, 3/1/2025
📅 3/1/2025
20:00
Valencia Valencia
6.25
X
4.40
Real Madrid Real Madrid
1.47

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Valencia x Real Madrid:

🔮 Real Madrid wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Real Madrid, you can win up to $735.00!

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The main points for the tip for Valencia x Real Madrid:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Valencia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Real Madrid in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-49.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Real Madrid scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Real Madrid, Valencia scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Real Madrid matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Valencia conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Real Madrid has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Valencia x Real Madrid?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2025, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Valencia x Real Madrid:

Analysis from Valencia x Real Madrid for the Spain La Liga – 3 of January

🏟️ Valencia X Real Madrid – Spain La Liga
📅 3 of January, 2025 – 20:00
🔵 Valencia – Winning probability: 5.93% | Fair line: 16.85
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.44% | Fair line: 13.45
🔴 Real Madrid – Winning probability: 86.63% | Fair line: 1.15
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Valencia x Real Madrid is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1241696 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Valencia x Real Madrid

Is it a good idea to bet on Valencia?

🔵 Valencia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 60 times – profiting $315.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – having a loss of -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$625.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.44% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $238.00;
  • And would lose other 930 times – having a loss of -$930.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$692.00.

Is it worth betting on Real Madrid?

🔴 Real Madrid: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.47. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 870 times – having a profit of $408.90;
  • And would have lost other 130 times – with a loss of -$130.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$278.90.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Valencia x Real Madrid

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Valencia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Valencia x Real Madrid

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Valencia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 Valencia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Real Madrid.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Valencia x Real Madrid

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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